August 1, 2009

  • Portfolio.com: NYC Datapoint of the Day: City’s middle-class exodus seen accelerating

    "New study cites NYC’s soaring cost of living and flattened wages for “outmigration” of moderate-income families.

    The Center for an Urban Future has released a startling report on the
    fate of New York's middle classes -- even as the population of the city
    continues to grow, its middle class is shrinking, and when it comes to
    domestic migration, there are clearly many more New Yorkers leaving
    town than there are people from other US towns moving in.

    More residents left the five boroughs for other locales in each of the
    years between 2002 and 2006 than in 1993, when the city was in far
    worse shape. In 2006, the city had a net loss of 151,441 residents
    through domestic out-migration, compared to a decline of 141,047 in
    1993. Overall, in 2006 the city had a higher net domestic out-migration
    rate per 1,000 residents (-18.7) than struggling upstate communities
    such as Ithaca (-8.0), Buffalo/Niagara Falls (-7.6), Rochester (-5.8)
    and Syracuse (-5.1).

    A huge part of this is the sheer expense of living in New York -- not
    just housing costs, although that's a lot of it, but everything else,
    too, from car insurance to the price of milk. But it's also that there
    simply aren't middle-class job opportunities in New York any more:

    Of the 10 occupations that are expected to have the largest number
    of annual job openings in the city through 2014, only two offer median
    wages greater than $28,000 a year. Taking a wider view, 16 of the 40
    occupations projected to have the largest number of annual job openings
    over the same period pay median wages below $30,000 a year, while
    another six pay between $30,000 and $40,000.

    This is a BIG problem, because a "luxury city", filled essentially with
    the rich and those who service them, with very little in the middle,
    can never be a vibrant and exciting place. College graduates like
    myself should want to come to New York, not because they think they can
    make millions here, but just because it's a great place to live. And
    that seems to be happening less and less, as New York becomes
    increasingly unaffordable.

    The authors write, quite rightly:

    No city has had a greater history as a middle class incubator than
    New York. As the legendary urbanist and long time New York resident
    Jane Jacobs once noted: "A metropolitan economy, if working well, is
    constantly transforming many poor people into middle class people, many
    illiterates into skilled people, many greenhorns into competent
    citizens... Cities don't lure the middle class. They create it."

    That's not happening any more, not in New York. And that's very worrying.

    _______

    Links to relevant articles:

    http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/market-movers/2009/02/05/new-york-city-datapoint-of-the-day?tid=true

    http://www.crainsnewyork.com/article/20090205/FREE/902059930/0

    http://www.brownstoner.com/brownstoner/archives/2009/02/its_tough_out_t.php

    http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2009/02/05/2009-02-05_nyc_so_costly_you_need_to_earn_six_figur.html

    ...and reported on FOX 5 NEWS at 6 tonight. I was a bit disturbed hearing of it

Comments (2)

  • I must refute that claim with certain caveats... college graduates in NYC are likely not in the quoted salary range. It also does not take into account people's resourcefulness in looking for housing or groceries etc; it's simply a snapshot of what's out there... that said, it is a disturbing trend that is happening over the long term and not immediately apparent.

  • Great post, thanks for the links!

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