August 1, 2009
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Portfolio.com: NYC Datapoint of the Day: City’s middle-class exodus seen accelerating
"New study cites NYC’s soaring cost of living and flattened wages for “outmigration” of moderate-income families.The Center for an Urban Future has released a startling report on the
fate of New York's middle classes -- even as the population of the city
continues to grow, its middle class is shrinking, and when it comes to
domestic migration, there are clearly many more New Yorkers leaving
town than there are people from other US towns moving in.More residents left the five boroughs for other locales in each of the
years between 2002 and 2006 than in 1993, when the city was in far
worse shape. In 2006, the city had a net loss of 151,441 residents
through domestic out-migration, compared to a decline of 141,047 in
1993. Overall, in 2006 the city had a higher net domestic out-migration
rate per 1,000 residents (-18.7) than struggling upstate communities
such as Ithaca (-8.0), Buffalo/Niagara Falls (-7.6), Rochester (-5.8)
and Syracuse (-5.1).A huge part of this is the sheer expense of living in New York -- not
just housing costs, although that's a lot of it, but everything else,
too, from car insurance to the price of milk. But it's also that there
simply aren't middle-class job opportunities in New York any more:Of the 10 occupations that are expected to have the largest number
of annual job openings in the city through 2014, only two offer median
wages greater than $28,000 a year. Taking a wider view, 16 of the 40
occupations projected to have the largest number of annual job openings
over the same period pay median wages below $30,000 a year, while
another six pay between $30,000 and $40,000.This is a BIG problem, because a "luxury city", filled essentially with
the rich and those who service them, with very little in the middle,
can never be a vibrant and exciting place. College graduates like
myself should want to come to New York, not because they think they can
make millions here, but just because it's a great place to live. And
that seems to be happening less and less, as New York becomes
increasingly unaffordable.The authors write, quite rightly:
No city has had a greater history as a middle class incubator than
New York. As the legendary urbanist and long time New York resident
Jane Jacobs once noted: "A metropolitan economy, if working well, is
constantly transforming many poor people into middle class people, many
illiterates into skilled people, many greenhorns into competent
citizens... Cities don't lure the middle class. They create it."That's not happening any more, not in New York. And that's very worrying.
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Links to relevant articles:
http://www.crainsnewyork.c
om/article/20090205/FREE/9 02059930/0 http://www.brownstoner.com
/brownstoner/archives/2009 /02/its_tough_out_t.php http://www.nydailynews.com
/money/2009/02/05/2009-02- 05_nyc_so_costly_you_need_ to_earn_six_figur.html ...and reported on FOX 5 NEWS at 6 tonight. I was a bit disturbed hearing of it
Comments (2)
I must refute that claim with certain caveats... college graduates in NYC are likely not in the quoted salary range. It also does not take into account people's resourcefulness in looking for housing or groceries etc; it's simply a snapshot of what's out there... that said, it is a disturbing trend that is happening over the long term and not immediately apparent.
Great post, thanks for the links!
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